After the first ten gameweeks of the new Premier League season, a supercomputer has released its updated forecast for how the 2025/26 campaign will finish. Last season, Manchester City were widely expected to dominate again, but it was Liverpool, under new manager Arne Slot, who surged to their 20th league title. Arsenal once again finished runners-up, marking their third consecutive second-place finish, while City narrowly claimed third following a late surge in form. Nottingham Forest surprised everyone by qualifying for Europe, while both Tottenham and Manchester United endured their worst league seasons of the Premier League era.
As the new campaign unfolds, the supercomputer—working in partnership with CasinoHawks—has simulated the remainder of the season based on current performances and fixtures. Here’s a breakdown of the predicted table and the stories behind it.
Relegation Battle
For the past two seasons, all three promoted teams have gone straight back down. However, the latest simulation suggests that Sunderland and Leeds United will avoid that fate, leaving Burnley, West Ham, and Wolves facing relegation.
Burnley are projected to finish 19th with 35 points under Daniel Farke, while West Ham’s struggles are expected to continue even after Graham Potter’s dismissal. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side are tipped for 18th with 40 points—usually enough for safety, but not this season. Wolves, still searching for a first win after ten games, are predicted to end bottom with just 31 points.
Everton, buoyed by new American owners and David Moyes’ return, were tipped to surprise a few this season. However, a predicted 16th-place finish would represent a disappointing campaign, despite flashes of promise and a memorable win over Crystal Palace.
Interestingly, only three points are expected to separate West Ham in 18th from Sunderland in 15th, suggesting a tight relegation battle that could go down to the final day. That may come as a surprise, given Sunderland’s strong start under Régis Le Bris, sitting fourth after ten matches.
Predicted Bottom Five:
- Sunderland – 43 pts
- Everton – 41 pts
- Leeds United – 40 pts
- West Ham – 40 pts
- Burnley – 35 pts
- Wolves – 31 pts
Mid-Table and Struggling Sides
Fulham are predicted to finish 14th, one place lower than last season, continuing their steady but unspectacular trajectory. Nottingham Forest, now under Sean Dyche after a turbulent managerial merry-go-round, are expected to drop to 13th—a significant fall from their European qualification last term.
Manchester United’s problems look set to deepen. Despite a morale-boosting win over Liverpool, they are forecasted to end the season in 12th, which could place serious pressure on manager Rúben Amorim.
Brentford, meanwhile, are predicted to finish 11th. Despite losing key players and manager Thomas Frank, new boss Keith Andrews has kept the Bees competitive and stable in mid-table.
Predicted Mid-Table:
- Brentford – 47 pts
- Manchester United – 46 pts
- Nottingham Forest – 46 pts
- Fulham – 43 pts
Top Half Contenders
Brighton are expected to round out the top ten with 49 points under new boss Fabian Hürzeler, continuing their steady evolution. Aston Villa, despite early struggles, are predicted to finish ninth after rediscovering form under Unai Emery.
Newcastle United, who have been hit by injuries and inconsistency, are projected to drop to eighth—a disappointment after last year’s fifth-place finish. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are forecasted to finish seventh, qualifying for European football for the first time in their history.
Crystal Palace, fresh from their first major trophy in the FA Cup and impressive wins over Liverpool, are tipped to finish sixth under Oliver Glasner, securing Europa League football. Tottenham are expected to just miss out on the top four, finishing fifth, with pressure mounting on Thomas Frank after mixed performances.
Predicted Top Half:
- Tottenham – 64 pts
- Crystal Palace – 61 pts
- Bournemouth – 59 pts
- Newcastle – 55 pts
- Aston Villa – 54 pts
- Brighton – 49 pts
The Top Four Race
Chelsea fans entered the new season full of optimism, but the supercomputer predicts another reality check. Enzo Maresca’s team are expected to finish fourth with 65 points—enough for Champions League qualification but far off the title race.
Manchester City, amid transition and occasional lapses, are projected to end third with 69 points, despite Erling Haaland’s strong goalscoring form.
Liverpool’s title defense under Arne Slot is predicted to fall short. Despite significant investment and early promise, a run of poor results has them tipped for second place with 80 points—12 behind the eventual champions.
That leaves Arsenal, under Mikel Arteta, to finally claim the Premier League crown. After years of near misses, the Gunners are forecasted to finish first with 92 points, boasting one of the best defenses in recent memory.
Predicted Top Four:
- Arsenal – 92 pts
- Liverpool – 80 pts
- Manchester City – 69 pts
- Chelsea – 65 pts
Final Prediction Summary
The 2025/26 season, if these projections prove accurate, will see Arsenal finally end their two-decade wait for the title, Liverpool settling for second, and Manchester United facing another campaign of frustration. Bournemouth and Crystal Palace could be the surprise packages, while West Ham, Burnley, and Wolves face the drop
